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Clouded judgement: Resilience, risk and the rise of data repatriation

When Amazon Web Services (AWS) launched its cloud services in 2006, it offered a utopian computing vision of agility, cost-efficiency and freedom from clunky legacy IT. Google with its Cloud Platform (GCP) and Microsoft with Azure weren’t far behind. But as artificial intelligence (AI) ramps up demand on infrastructure, and governments crack down on data sovereignty, that utopian vision doesn’t quite look so utopian.

Cloud repatriation and digital sovereignty, once the concern of fringe sysadmins and European Union (EU) policy nerds, are now the quiet buzzwords of boardrooms and procurement teams. This is not just about where the data lives. It’s about who controls it, who profits from it, and who answers when something goes wrong. And in a world where compute power is increasingly the fuel of geopolitical and economic strength, those questions are starting to feel a little more pressing.

Research commissioned by Civo, surveying more than 1,000 UK IT decision-makers, reveals the depth of this shift. According to the study, 84% of respondents are concerned that geopolitical developments could threaten their ability to access and control data. Over 60% believe the UK government should stop purchasing cloud services from US providers in response to escalating tariffs, and 45% are actively considering repatriating data from US platforms.

While the findings reflect growing concern, they also highlight a strategic shift, with 78% of leaders now considering digital sovereignty when selecting tech partners, and 68% saying they will only adopt AI services where they have full certainty over data ownership. For some, the answer is to take back control. Cloud repatriation is gaining some traction, at least in terms of mindset, but as yet, this is not translating into a mass exodus from the hyperscalers.

And yet, calls for digital sovereignty are getting louder. In Europe, the Euro-Stack open letter has reignited the debate, urging policymakers to champion a competitive, sovereign digital infrastructure. But while politics might be a trigger, the key question is not whether businesses are abandoning cloud (most aren’t) but whether the balance of cloud usage is changing, driven as much by cost as performance needs and rising regulatory risks.

This came to a head recently with the US administration’s tariff campaign. According to Mark Boost, CEO of UK-based cloud provider Civo, since the announcement of new US tariffs, there has been “a definite shift in attitudes, almost overnight”. He says concerns about reliance on US hyperscalers have intensified, with people starting to think about de-risking from US-dominated cloud providers.

It’s a view supported by Francesco Bonfiglio, CEO of sovereign cloud provider Dynamo Cloud and former head of Gaia-X, a European initiative aimed at creating a federated and secure data infrastructure. Bonfiglio believes the trend is real, if not yet widespread.

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Public cloud: Why data sovereignty and data security is a growing UK issue

The UK government’s decision to designate datacentres as critical national infrastructure (CNI) in September 2024 signalled its ambition to build a digital economy that is secure and globally competitive.

But behind the headlines about protecting against cyber crime and IT blackouts lies a more complicated reality – a sector grappling with policy uncertainty, reliance on foreign cloud giants and a data sovereignty agenda that looks increasingly compromised.

In a blog post, Forrester principal analyst Tracy Woo wrote: “New sovereignty requirements such as SecNumCloud, Cloud de Confiance from France, and the Cloud Computing Compliance Controls Catalog (C5) from Germany, along with the push to keep data in-country, have created a broader push for private and sovereign clouds.”

But the promise of “protected infrastructure” rings hollow when hyperscalers openly admit they cannot guarantee that UK government data stored in cloud services such as Microsoft 365 and Azure will remain within national borders.

Woo points out that countries in the European Union (EU) and Asia-Pacific (APAC) have been attempting to more heavily leverage non-US-based cloud providers, create sovereign clouds, or leave workloads on-premise.

In the UK, regulatory scrutiny is exposing the fragile state of the UK’s digital independence. Looking at the UK’s approach to data sovereignty, law firm Kennedys Law describes the Data Use and Access (DUA) Bill, which was published in October 2024, as “a more flexible risk-based approach for international data transfers”.

Kennedys notes that the new test requires that the data protection standards in the destination jurisdiction must not be materially lower than those in the UK. According to Kennedys, this standard is less rigid than the EU’s “essential equivalence” requirement but raises questions about how “materially lower” will be interpreted in practice.

Understandably, with the government’s reliance on cloud-based productivity tools, concerns about compliance with UK data protection laws have intensified.

Photo by C Dustin on Unsplash

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Between a cloud and a hard place: companies change applications tack

The Covid-19 pandemic has accelerated a trend. While cloud adoption was already on the rise, quick decision-making and a change in working patterns is forcing new thinking on application management.

“We were humbled by the accelerated adoption of the Zoom platform around the globe in Q1,” said Eric Yuan, founder and CEO of Zoom during the company’s first quarter financials announcement in early June 2020.

With 169% growth in revenue compared with the first quarter of 2019, the video-conferencing firm saw its profit climb to £27m.

But Zoom hasn’t been the only beneficiary of the Covid-19 pandemic lockdown. Microsoft’s CEO Satya Nadella recently revealed that the company’s Teams software now has 75 million daily active users, a jump of 70%.

While communication and collaboration apps have certainly seen a significant rise in popularity, cloud apps as a whole have taken a giant leap forward in terms of how organisations are now seeing the future.

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